Investing & Performance | 17 April 2024

middle east conflict: an update from our investment team

Our funds and portfolios remain diversified in light of the recent escalation of events in the Middle East. 

The current conflict in the Middle East escalated over the weekend and, while there aren’t any immediate expectations of the situation worsening, geopolitical tensions are unlikely to subside in the coming months.

Fahad Kamal, Chief Investment Officer, Coutts, said: “The events taking place in the Middle East since the end of last year have been devastating. While tensions are still unfolding, we continue to uphold our fiduciary duty to our clients to monitor the impact on markets.”

“The events taking place in the Middle East since the end of last year have been devastating. While tensions are still unfolding, we continue to uphold our fiduciary duty to our clients to monitor the impact on markets.” 

 

Fahad Kamal, Chief Investment Officer, Coutts

how we're managing our client's funds and portfolios

For the past six months, we have closely monitored the ongoing geopolitical risks and the potential impact they could have on investment markets.

The market’s reaction to the recent strikes was kept to a minimum with no significant volatility experienced at the time of writing. But should the situation in the Middle East worsen, stock markets could see larger movements.

We’ve constructed our funds and portfolios accordingly, aiming to mitigate and minimalise the impact of any volatility.

Our investment strategies include a number of assets designed for diversification – for example gold, long-dated government bonds and increased levels of cash. These should help guard our investments from the worst of any resulting market falls. 

Previous geopolitical tensions show markets tend to bounce back

It’s very normal to see some volatility in markets in the days following geopolitical flashpoints. Previous similar events on the S&P 500 index – the 500 largest companies in the US – show that 5-10% selloffs can occur as a result. But markets have on average recovered with double-digit returns over the following 12 months.

Fahad says: “While there may be some reactive movements to equity markets in the short term, we stay true to our disciplined philosophy and framework as long-term investors. We’re focused on making the most of positive market moves and seizing opportunities, but also being well-positioned should markets temporarily drop.”

 


Past performance should not be taken as a guide to future performance. The value of investments, and the income you get from them, can fall as well as rise and you may not get back what you put in. You should continue to hold cash for your short-term needs.

 

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